Kenya: Bamburi Cement Company; year ended December 31, 2011

Bamburi Cement, East Africa’s largest cement producing company, is a subsidiary of Lafarge Group.

Financial Performance
Bamburi announced audited group earnings results for the year ended December 31, 2011. The company’s turnover increased by 28% to KES 35.884 billion compared to KES 28.075 billion for the same period in 2010. Operating profit was KES 7.954 billion compared to KES 7.282 billion for the same period in 2010, representing a growth of 9%. Profit before tax grew by 0.902 billion from KES 7.564 billion to KES 8.466 billion representing a growth of 12%. Profit for the period was KES 5.859 billion or KES 14.44 per basic and diluted share compared to KES 5.299 billion or KES 14.02 per basic and diluted share for the same period in 2010. Net cash generated from operating activities was KES 5.680 billion compared to KES 8.735 billion for the same period in 2010.

Operating Environment
In 2011 there was a sharp increase in global fuel prices, depreciation of the Kenyan currency and increased competition from other manufacturers. Both existing players and new entrants increased capacity. There was a reduction in sales which was attributed to cheap imports from china, India, Egypt and Thailand. In spite of this, the Group posted strong financial results mainly due to significant contribution from its new production facility in Uganda which was commissioned last year and cost reduction measures adopted across the Group. The group was also able to get better export prices due to the appreciation of the US dollar in the second half of 2011.

Investment Analysis
EPS grew 3% to 14.44 and with dividend payout ratio at 69%; dividend increased 18% to KES 10.00, bringing the dividend yield to 6.7%. When you do a comparison with the industry the average dividend yield for the industry is 1.49%. Its closest peers Athi River mining (ARM) and East African Portland cement (EAPC) have a dividend yield of 1.08% and 0.83% respectively; this puts Bamburi way ahead of its peers in terms of dividend payouts. ARM has an EPS of 11.61 while that for EAPC is 6.24. The liquidity of Bamburi is also high with average daily volumes of 33,900 while its closest peer, ARM has 21,600. Bamburi has a P/E ratio of 9.88 while for ARM is 15.95 and EAPC is 12.68.This clearly shows that Bamburi is the cheapest.

Recommendation
BUY

The growth of the regional economies is anticipated to slow down due to rising global fuel prices and inflation. However, the regional cement market is expected to remain vibrant. Revenue growth would be driven by demand and improved efficiencies from Uganda. Exports to neighboring countries are expected to play an important role, allowing the company to expand its market leadership position across the East African region.

Quote:
"You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you. You are right because your data and reasoning are right." Benjamin Graham.